Mississippi vs Vanderbilt 9/17/2011

[RXNewsbot]

AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Mississippi winning 44% of simulations, and Vanderbilt 56% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Mississippi commits fewer turnovers in 31% of simulations and they go on to win 58% when they take care of the ball. Vanderbilt wins 67% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Enrique Davis is averaging 71 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (21% chance) then he helps his team win 61%. Jerron Seymour is averaging 48 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (25% chance) then he helps his team win 72%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is VAN +1

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